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Price relationships in the petroleum market : an analysis of crude oil and refined product prices

机译:石油市场价格关系:原油和成品油价格分析

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摘要

In this paper the relationships between crude oil and refined product prices are investigated in a multivariate framework. This allows us to test several (partly competing) assumptions of earlier studies. In particular, we find that the crude oil price is weakly exogeneous and that the spread is constant in some but not all relationships. Moreover, the multivariate analysis shows that the link between crude oil prices and several refined product prices implies market integration for these refined products. This is an example of supply driven market integration and producers will change the output mix in response to price changes.
机译:本文在多变量框架下研究了原油与成品油价格之间的关系。这使我们可以测试早期研究的几个(部分竞争)假设。特别是,我们发现原油价格是弱外生的,并且在某些而非全部关系中,价差是恒定的。此外,多变量分析表明,原油价格与几种成品油价格之间的联系暗示着这些成品油的市场整合。这是一个以供应为驱动力的市场整合的例子,生产商将根据价格变化来改变产出结构。

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